4 Oct 2022 TwentyFour Blog UK fundamentals turn into technical Will Kwasi Kwarteng’s U-turn bring some much needed stability to the UK economy? Dillon Lancaster shares his thoughts Read more
27 Sep 2022 TwentyFour Blog Is the UK mortgage market ‘closed’? With UK banks pulling mortgages from the market, Douglas Charleston explains why this doesn’t reflect any fundamental weakness in the UK banking sector, but rather the uncertainty created by the sharp moves in UK rates. Read more
29 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog What is the AT1 market pricing in? With bank Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds broadly trading at a 10% discount to par and many being priced to perpetuity, Dillon Lancaster suggests investors are either missing or ignoring the solid fundamentals on show in Q2 earnings. Read more
8 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog Away from Downing Street, some prudence in the UK Political chaos is once again taking the headlines in the UK, but bond investors should be cheering the UK regulator’s decision to raise banks’ capital buffers in preparation for an anticipated economic downturn, says Gary Kirk. Read more
20 Jun 2022 TwentyFour Blog Credit Suisse’s chunky coupon a sign of the times After 18 months of difficult headlines Credit Suisse could ill afford more negative press, and we therefore welcomed its decision to refinance its 7.125% Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond last week at its first call date. Read more
1 Jun 2022 TwentyFour Blog AT1 issuance offers optimism for credit investors The past couple of weeks have seen a flurry of new issuance as rates and credit markets have stabilised, and the European summer lull is approaching fast. Read more
11 Apr 2022 TwentyFour Blog Rationality will win out for AT1s in the real world Despite the ECB's recent review bringing some previously debated points surrounding AT1s to the forefront, we believe any changes would create undesired, real-world consequences if implemented. Read more
30 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Deutsche Bank lures CoCo investors The reshaping of Deutsche Bank since the end of the global financial crisis has been one of the longest-running transformation stories in the banking sector. Read more
3 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Investors are overreacting to banks’ Russia exposure European bank equity has been among the hardest hit sectors since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as fears of losses and a flight to quality have prompted investors to change positioning. Read more
11 Feb 2022 TwentyFour Blog Managing the downturn As 2021 wore on we became increasingly concerned that the disconnect between asset prices, economic fundamentals and monetary policy was becoming more acute. Read more
14 Dec 2021 TwentyFour Blog UK banks pass the solvency test As bondholders, we are comforted by all the banks passing such a severe test. Read more
28 Jul 2021 TwentyFour Blog Bank Balance Sheets Continue to Strengthen We agree that banks are sitting with an abundance of excess capital and will use some of it to repay shareholder support. However, capital buffers will remain elevated for some time to come, Read more