1 Dec 2022 TwentyFour Blog Labour market the driving force for the Fed Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation. Read more
2 Nov 2022 TwentyFour Blog To call or not to call – who decides? With a surprising statement issued by the Australian regulator, Eoin Walsh looks at the wider implications for the calling of AT1 bonds Read more
17 Oct 2022 TwentyFour Blog Non-call doesn’t necessarily mean price pain in AT1s After Banco Sabadell declined to call its 6.125% AT1s at their first call date due to current market conditions, Dillon Lancaster looks at the structure of the bonds and explains what the move means for investors. Read more
14 Oct 2022 TwentyFour Blog Has the UK risk premium gone too far? With some UK bank bonds now trading with higher yields than their counterparts in Turkey, Mark Holman questions whether the dumping of UK and sterling assets has gone too far. Read more
11 Oct 2022 TwentyFour Blog AT1s: when refinancing a 5% bond at 7.25% makes sense With call risk in Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds back in the headlines, Felipe Villarroel explains how banks think about the economics of calling, and why he believes market participants frequently overestimate this risk. Read more
4 Oct 2022 TwentyFour Blog UK fundamentals turn into technical Will Kwasi Kwarteng’s U-turn bring some much needed stability to the UK economy? Dillon Lancaster shares his thoughts Read more
27 Sep 2022 TwentyFour Blog Is the UK mortgage market ‘closed’? With UK banks pulling mortgages from the market, Douglas Charleston explains why this doesn’t reflect any fundamental weakness in the UK banking sector, but rather the uncertainty created by the sharp moves in UK rates. Read more
29 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog What is the AT1 market pricing in? With bank Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds broadly trading at a 10% discount to par and many being priced to perpetuity, Dillon Lancaster suggests investors are either missing or ignoring the solid fundamentals on show in Q2 earnings. Read more
8 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog Away from Downing Street, some prudence in the UK Political chaos is once again taking the headlines in the UK, but bond investors should be cheering the UK regulator’s decision to raise banks’ capital buffers in preparation for an anticipated economic downturn, says Gary Kirk. Read more
20 Jun 2022 TwentyFour Blog Credit Suisse’s chunky coupon a sign of the times After 18 months of difficult headlines Credit Suisse could ill afford more negative press, and we therefore welcomed its decision to refinance its 7.125% Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond last week at its first call date. Read more
1 Jun 2022 TwentyFour Blog AT1 issuance offers optimism for credit investors The past couple of weeks have seen a flurry of new issuance as rates and credit markets have stabilised, and the European summer lull is approaching fast. Read more
11 Apr 2022 TwentyFour Blog Rationality will win out for AT1s in the real world Despite the ECB's recent review bringing some previously debated points surrounding AT1s to the forefront, we believe any changes would create undesired, real-world consequences if implemented. Read more