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Monetary Policy

20 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Bank of England joins the ECB on hierarchy

The Bank of England joins the European Central Bank in stating that there is a clear hierarchy when it comes to a resolution or an insolvency scenario.
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6 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Will bank lending change the ECB’s view on inflation?

European banks’ tighter lending standards are chipping away at corporate loan volumes and adding to the uncertainty surrounding the ECB’s inflation projections due later this month, says Felipe Villarroel.
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2 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

February pull-back widens the entry point for fixed income

February was a nasty throwback to the sort of market conditions that battered fixed income in 2022, but the pull-back has given anyone worried they’d missed the January rally an even better opportunity, says Charlene Malik.
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1 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Financial conditions are tightening – what comes next?

With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.
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24 Feb 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Are markets finally following the Fed?

With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.
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20 Feb 2023 TwentyFour Blog

High yield data shows buffer in corporate balance sheets

While corporate fundamentals are expected to deteriorate as rate hikes hit the economy, many metrics are pointing to record strength in the European high yield space, says George Curtis.
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The compelling case for ABS in 2023
30 Jan 2023 TwentyFour Blog

The compelling case for ABS in 2023

Having done its job of delivering lower volatility and better performance than mainstream bond markets in 2022, the income and defensive characteristics of European ABS look equally compelling in 2023, says Doug Charleston.
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25 Jan 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Having your cake and eating it

While yields have soared in recent months and created a broad buying opportunity in fixed income, Aza Teeuwen says investors should look at floating rate bonds to benefit from higher coupons today.
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Bracing for impact in commercial real estate
23 Jan 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Bracing for impact in commercial real estate

With commercial real estate seen to be in the eye of the storm as interest rates rise, Aza Teeuwen looks at the potential impact on CMBS and CRE loans and highlights where valuations could be most at risk.
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First results from great QT experiment are positive
17 Jan 2023 TwentyFour Blog

First results from great QT experiment are positive

With many market participants fearing the impact of quantitative tightening (QT), Johnathan Owen looks at one central bank’s early experience of actively selling bonds to investors.
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Are storm clouds gathering over the UK housing market? Part one…
2 Dec 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Are storm clouds gathering over the UK housing market? Part one…

In the first of a two-part series on the UK housing market, Shilpa Pathak looks at the experience of previous recessions and argues fundamentals today look far stronger than they did either in 2007 or the early 1990s
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Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability
14 Nov 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability

With a US inflation print finally coming in below expectations, can investors start to picture decent returns again? Or will this latest relief rally prove another false dawn?
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