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Monetary Policy

A busy week ahead for central banks
12 Jun 2023 TwentyFour Blog

A busy week ahead for central banks

What can we expect from central banks this week? Felipe Villarroel looks at how recent CPI prints in the Eurozone and in the United States are expected to influence upcoming central bank monetary policy decisions.
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European consumers not expecting a hard landing
8 Jun 2023 TwentyFour Blog

European consumers not expecting a hard landing

What have we learnt from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey? Felipe Villarroel discusses how latest changes in the consumer’s expectations of the economy reflect that the ECB’s monetary policy is actually working.
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US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle
1 Jun 2023 TwentyFour Blog

US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle

In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.
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Fed minutes: A tale of two camps
25 May 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fed minutes: A tale of two camps

What do the release of the Fed minutes tell us about the forward path for monetary policy? Danny Zaid argues that for market participants looking for clarity, the minutes, provide more questions than answers.
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Financial conditions tighten further but could have been worse
9 May 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Financial conditions tighten further but could have been worse

Following the publication of the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, Felipe Villarroel highlights what caught our attention in the report and if it signals further tightening of financial conditions.
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5 Apr 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Tighter financial conditions might herald end to rate hikes

Is the end of rate hikes near for the US? Concerns over regional banks and a weakening labour market are raising questions about the Fed's next move.
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20 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Bank of England joins the ECB on hierarchy

The Bank of England joins the European Central Bank in stating that there is a clear hierarchy when it comes to a resolution or an insolvency scenario.
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6 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Will bank lending change the ECB’s view on inflation?

European banks’ tighter lending standards are chipping away at corporate loan volumes and adding to the uncertainty surrounding the ECB’s inflation projections due later this month, says Felipe Villarroel.
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2 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

February pull-back widens the entry point for fixed income

February was a nasty throwback to the sort of market conditions that battered fixed income in 2022, but the pull-back has given anyone worried they’d missed the January rally an even better opportunity, says Charlene Malik.
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1 Mar 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Financial conditions are tightening – what comes next?

With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.
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24 Feb 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Are markets finally following the Fed?

With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.
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20 Feb 2023 TwentyFour Blog

High yield data shows buffer in corporate balance sheets

While corporate fundamentals are expected to deteriorate as rate hikes hit the economy, many metrics are pointing to record strength in the European high yield space, says George Curtis.
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