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Monetary Policy

That shrinking feeling: Money supply tightens as rate hikes feed through
27 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

That shrinking feeling: Money supply tightens as rate hikes feed through

Following the recent publication of the European Central Bank's monthly “Monetary Developments in the Euro Area” report, Felipe Villarroel takes a deep dive into how this report evidences the impact that successive rate hikes are having on the economy
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Pause for thought: Was this the BoE's final rate hike?
25 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Pause for thought: Was this the BoE's final rate hike?

Are central banks now at a point where they are done with hiking cycles and are we seeing a positive outcome for fixed income?
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Fed rates held: Goldilocks is in the building
21 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fed rates held: Goldilocks is in the building

Eoin Walsh shares his thoughts following last night's statement from the Federal Reserve, concluding that for now while treasury yields aren’t helping, credit looks attractive based on the rosy economic forecasts.
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That's all folks
15 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

ECB: That's All Folks?

Felipe Villarroel argues that it will not be long before we see yields in fixed income assets at levels markedly above spot inflation which could translate in investors racing to lock in those yields.
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Growing signs that the UK labour market is weakening
13 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Growing signs that the UK labour market is weakening

The labour market has been one of the major headaches the Bank of England has had to deal with in their battle against inflation. Yesterday the ONS released their monthly labour market update and although some of those headaches’ causes are not abating, there are others that are actually showing signs of progress.
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ECB's turn to skip?
11 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

ECB’s turn to skip?

Dillon Lancaster comments on the divergence in views from ECB members, and whether the end of the week will see a 'skip' or 'hawkish pause'. He believes either outcome is not likely to have a huge effect on the market.
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New Issues highlight value opportunities in Fixed Income
4 Sep 2023 TwentyFour Blog

New issues highlight value opportunities in fixed income

Pierre Beniguel gives his thoughts on some of the deals that have caught his eye from the reopening of the primary market after a quiet summer.
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Labour markets show encouraging signs of progress
30 Aug 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Labour markets show encouraging signs of progress

Felipe Villarroel takes a look at what progress, if any, has been made in the labour market and how this resonates with the Fed's projection of labour markets easing while not experiencing a major disruption.
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Poor PMI Data weigh on Soft Landing narrative
24 Aug 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Poor PMI data weigh on soft landing narrative

Felipe Villarroel shares his thoughts on the recently released preliminary PMI data, which he concludes is a reminder that the hiking cycle only started 18 months ago and there are lags that are yet to be felt in the real economy, reiterating some of his previous views.
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Will the Fed message soften at Jackson Hole?
22 Aug 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Will the Fed message soften at Jackson Hole?

An interesting debate, and topic that is attracting plenty of headlines given the recent volatility is where Treasury yields will ultimately settle, with a renewed focus on the neutral rate. Eoin Walsh explores the previous movements of Treasury yields and what Powell is likely to say at Jasckon Hole.
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Banks have done their part – now will markets catch up
2 Aug 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Banks have done their part – now will markets catch up

Bank bonds have been amongst the best performing asset classes in fixed income over the last few months, doing their bit in proving their strength.
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ECB's bank lending survey has something for everyone
27 Jul 2023 TwentyFour Blog

ECB's bank lending survey has something for everyone

Felipe Villarroel gives an overview of what he believes to be important features of the survey, reflecting on both the good and the bad news.
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