The TwentyFour Blog
European HY Default Rates Doubling No Reason to Panic
"Where defaults get to exactly depends on a few things, but we can certainly analyse where we think the problem areas could be, whether cracks are already starting to appear, and what investors might do to protect themselves."
Trade war volatility maintains grip on bonds
By now investors should be getting used to the ever more frequent hiccups in the trade negotiations between the US and the rest of the world.
Data decline eases for Germany and US
"In some parts of the global economy, we might be seeing a bottom in terms of low activity levels." TwentyFour's Felipe Villarroel discusses the factors behind these improving trends.
NIBC leading the way in ESG
“NIBC, has been involved in ESG/CSR focused lending in Europe for some time, and is the first manager to issue what we might call an ESG CLO." Elena Rinaldi discusses why in terms of ESG, NIBC would receive a high score from us.
Younited performance shows risks in Fintech ABS
"Younited’s funding strategy is as innovative as its business model... In May this year, the company successfully issued its first #ABS backed by French consumer loans" TwentyFour's Ben Hayward discusses.
Fitch keeps AT1 investors on their toes
"We have been participants in the Additional Tier 1 (AT1) sector since its introduction in 2013, albeit with a high degree of selectivity, but the risk-reward has been obvious to us." Gary Kirk discusses the latest AT1 news from Fitch
IG demand would be key to Walgreens buyout
At this late point in the cycle, fixed income investors are on high alert for signs of potential excess in the capital markets, and a proposal for potentially the biggest leveraged buyout (LBO) in history would certainly fall into that category.
US corporate credit demand slows again
The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, combined with financial results from the banks, is probably still the most useful tool we have for gauging the cycle’s life expectancy.
Risk well underpinned going into year-end
A number of threats to risk assets have dissipated and could become positive tail risks for markets moving into 2020.
What Does US Loan Underperformance Mean for Bondholders?
"The European CLO market is much smaller, but given the US is further ahead in the economic cycle, the US market can provide a good indication of what might happen in Europe."
Brexit Battle Brewing for the Bank
Markets appear more confident the UK will avoid a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, but this isn’t feeding through to rate rise expectations. TwentyFour Asset Management's Ben Hayward examines why.
Monetising the Brexit Premium
So is there any Brexit premium left at this juncture? We certainly believe there is.