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TwentyFour Blog

2019-06-17_24_due-diligence-critical-for-new-cohort-of-abs-issuers_teaser
17 Jun 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Due Diligence Critical for New Cohort of ABS Issuers

As we wrote on Friday, one of our biggest takeaways from last week’s Global ABS conference was the growing number of prospective new issuers in the market.
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2019-06-14_24_global-ABS-2019-issuers-out-in-force_teaser.jpg
14 Jun 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Global ABS 2019: Issuers Out in Force

This week Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) market participants from across the globe gathered for the 23rd annual three-day Global ABS conference in Barcelona. And this year it proved more popular than ever with over 4,000 attendees (a post-crisis record) made up of issuers, arrangers, service providers, traders, analysts, market regulators, the industry press, and of course investors like ourselves. In particular, we felt the number of issuers represented was noticeably higher than we have seen in recent years.
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2019-06-06_24_cashing-in-on-the-brexit-premium-teaser.jpg
6 Jun 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Cashing in on the Brexit Premium

Brexit deliberations are currently at a standstill in the UK parliament, as are negotiations with EU representatives. The next steps in the exit process are clouded in uncertainty, with numerous options on the table. In this environment, it’s no surprise that investors are still demanding a spread premium for sterling denominated credit, over and above comparable euro denominated issues.
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2019-06-04_24_what-would-it-taketeaser
4 Jun 2019 TwentyFour Blog

What Would it Take For the Fed to Cut?

With markets now pricing in two cuts in the Fed Funds rate this year, and a 97% chance of at least one cut, once again the FOMC members are at odds with the financial markets.
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31 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

A Tale of Two Bonds – Primary vs Secondary

In the ABS market we often refer to the technical around supply and demand which can influence the direction of spreads as a consequence.
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2019-05-30_24_pricing-a-us-recession-wont-make-it-real_teaser
30 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Pricing a US Recession Won’t Make it Real

One of the main drivers of global markets at the moment is the exact status of the economic cycle in the United States, and on a related note, what the Federal Reserve’s next moves are likely to be. One question we are being asked more and more often by investors is whether we think a recession is coming in the US, and if so, when?
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21 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Lloyds Next Not to Call?

Earlier this year Santander became the first bank not to call its Additional Tier 1 (AT1 or ‘CoCo’) bonds at the first call date
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2019-05-14_24blog_the-problem-with-gilts
14 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

The Problem With Gilts

Since the result of the UK referendum in June 2016 there has been a noticeable ‘Brexit-premium’ associated with most sterling denominated assets.
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7 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Supply Slowdown Points to CLO Performance

At the end of Q1 we were surprised by the solid pace of supply in CLOs, especially considering the challenging arbitrage dynamics facing issuers.
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2019-05-03_24blog_markets-are-still-fighting-the-fed-on-rates
3 May 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Markets are Still Fighting the Fed on Rates

Last Friday’s strong US GDP reading for the first quarter has sparked several days of debate between TwentyFour portfolio managers. The 3.2% reading was 100bp ahead of consensus, so a strong beat at the headline level, but the components accounting for it, such as inventory building, suggested the figure was an aberration and likely to reverse in Q2.
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2019-05-07_24blog_supply-slowdown-points-to-clo-performance
26 Apr 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Thoughts on EM

Emerging Market (EM) bonds have had a good year so far. While they are not at the very top of the performance table, the hard currency CEMBI (Corporate Emerging Markets Bond Index) is up 5.69% in $ since the start of the year, and the EMBI (Sovereigns) is up 6.32%; not bad at all.
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2019-04-25_24blog_capital-calls-and-comfortable-coupons
25 Apr 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Capital, Calls and Comfortable Coupons

The cycle of banks calling outstanding capital bonds continued this week and we’ll soon be bidding fond farewells to two of our long held and favourite positions; Nationwide’s 6.875% Additional Tier 1 (CoCo) and Barclays’ 14% hybrid Tier 1.
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