Tighter financial conditions might herald end to rate hikes
Is the end of rate hikes near for the US? Concerns over regional banks and a weakening labour market are raising questions about the Fed's next move.
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What is in the price of AT1s after the sell off?
After a volatile few days in bank capital, Felipe Villarroel looks at how AT1s are pricing after the sell off.
Central Banks have tools to handle volatility in the banking sector
Volatility in banking has dented consumer confidence. Felipe Villarroel explores if central banks have the will and the tools to safeguard financial stability amidst the recent issues with Credit Suisse and regional US banks.
Idiosyncratic or wider bank issue?
Deposit outflows at Silicon Valley Bank raise concerns over lending quality and mark-to-market losses, but is this a wider issue for the global banking sector?
February pull-back widens the entry point for fixed income
February was a nasty throwback to the sort of market conditions that battered fixed income in 2022, but the pull-back has given anyone worried they’d missed the January rally an even better opportunity, says Charlene Malik.
Financial conditions are tightening – what comes next?
With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.
Are markets finally following the Fed?
With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.
Fundamentals suggest more upside for high yield bonds
With risk assets rallying hard in the early weeks of 2023, Chris Holman reviews fundamentals in high yield bonds to see if recent performance has left any value in the market.
Fed still on narrow path to soft landing
Recent employment data suggests the US economy may escape with a soft landing, a welcome boost to market sentiment in the early days of 2023, says Eoin Walsh.
The Rodney Blog 2023: A return to returns
In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023
Labour market the driving force for the Fed
Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.
Highest starting yields since ‘08 predict strong five-year returns
Chris Bowie explains why he believes analysing starting yields can explain improved returns over the next five years