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Europe

A (Measured) Buying Opportunity in Credit
21 Nov 2018 TwentyFour Blog

A (Measured) Buying Opportunity in Credit

There were sharp declines across global risk assets on Tuesday, led by tech stocks but with barely an asset class left unscathed.
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Italian Banks - What Do The Earnings Tell Us?
7 Nov 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Italian Banks - What Do The Earnings Tell Us?

After some very negative research pieces – some almost sensationally so – on the affect the wider Italian Government Bond (BTP) spreads would have on Italian banks, yesterday we got to see the facts from Intesa Sanpaolo when it  reported its  Q3 earnings.
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Big Few Days For Europe’s Banks
6 Nov 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Big Few Days For Europe’s Banks

As expected, the EBA 2018 stress tests, which were widely reported on yesterday did not have much of an impact on markets generally, although it’s worth looking at some of the stresses.
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Is there a case for Italian RMBS?
31 Oct 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Is there a case for Italian RMBS?

At TwentyFour our Italian ABS holdings are fairly moderate, and in general our peripheral ABS exposure has been steadily decreasing for some time. This has nothing to do with credit quality, but everything to do with relative value.
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Another Reason To Be Skeptical Of Italy's Growth Projections
10 Oct 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Another Reason To Be Skeptical Of Italy's Growth Projections

It may come as a surprise to some that the country currently experiencing the fastest pace of monetary tightening across developed nations is in Europe, where the main refinancing rate is well and truly anchored at -0.40%.
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Italy Disappoints
28 Sep 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Italy Disappoints

This morning we arrived to the news that the Italian government was preparing a budget that had a deficit of 2.4%.
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Hedging Costs Can Also Be a Benefit
25 Sep 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Hedging Costs Can Also Be a Benefit

Those of you who have seen or heard one of our presentations will be aware of the significant impact that the FX-basis currently has on our relative value bond selection.
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Investors Need a Big Hike From Turkey
12 Sep 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Investors Need a Big Hike From Turkey

This is a crucial week for Turkey’s economy and the Central Bank of Turkey’s credibility.
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Where there’s a will, there’s a way
10 Sep 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Where there’s a will, there’s a way

Since that first encounter the market has remained a core financing option for banks’ consumer and corporate lending books, but there has always been a degree of innovation around the fringes.
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Italian Politicians Are Listening to the Market
5 Sep 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Italian Politicians Are Listening to the Market

Last Friday we were surprised that a comment from a G7 finance minister, which should have been taken highly positively, was somewhat skipped over by the markets.
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Italian Politics Delicately Poised
31 Aug 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Italian Politics Delicately Poised

Our attention this morning was grabbed by a headline from Italy’s La Stampa, which reported that Finance Minister Giovanni Tria is preparing a 2019 budget that will result in a 1.5% deficit/GDP ratio for the indebted EU nation.
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Farewell To An Old Friend
24 Aug 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Farewell To An Old Friend

Last year, with credit spreads tightening close to historic levels, it seemed appropriate to us to take a more prudent stance and move to a more balanced portfolio.
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