23 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog Far-right leader wins Dutch election but markets remain calm The Dutch elections took an unexpected turn as it looks like Geert Wilders' Freedom Party (PVV) will gain 20 seats and become the largest party with 37 of 150 seats. Read more
22 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog Overcoming the US maturity wall is not as fraught as the headlines suggest Despite concerns about a maturity wall, Chris Holman explains how research shows the high yield maturity profile in the US is less concerning. Overall, a focus on higher-rated bonds suggests a relatively healthy outlook for the primary market and a default rate in line with historical averages. Read more
13 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog US earnings season: What the micro tells us about the macro As earnings season ends, we take stock of the latest US results and what it tells us about the health of corporates, the consumer, and the outlook for the broader economy. Read more
9 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog UBS deal a cathartic moment for AT1s UBS came to the market yesterday with a two-tranche $ additional tier 1 transaction, which was highly anticipated and didn’t disappoint. Read more
7 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog Fed survey points to a slowdown of the US economy Following yesterday’s publication of the quarterly Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOs) by the Fed, it revealed how lending conditions have evolved over the quarter amongst US banks. Read more
2 Nov 2023 TwentyFour Blog A big week for US treasuries as the Fed holds rates steady George Curtis breaks down the latest developments following this week’s Quarterly Refunding Announcement and the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee update. Read more
27 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog Fundamentals show European banks well set up as bonds are still cheap Whilst bank debt has recovered from the contagion of the US regional banking crisis and the Credit Suisse write down event earlier this year, many bonds are still trading wider than they were at the beginning of the year. Read more
25 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog The ECB hiking cycle is likely to be over Yesterday, market participants received two important reports about the state of the economy in the Eurozone. Firstly, the October Markit PMI – Purchasing Managers’ Index - reports showed a continued deterioration in growth in the manufacturing as well as the services sector. Read more
23 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog Hitting the wall: What next for high yield default rates? Thomas Barkin, President of the Richmond Fed, called any (potential) upcoming recession "the most predicted recession ever". Read more
20 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog AT1s: to call or not to call – that is the question A recent article in Bloomberg has generated some discussion around proposed changes to the way AT1 bonds are called. Read more
17 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog Today’s labour market numbers are good news for the Bank of England This morning the ONS published its monthly update on the UK labour market. Of all the G7 countries, the UK has had the most puzzling labour market dynamics post pandemic, as we discussed in a previous blog. Read more
13 Oct 2023 TwentyFour Blog Examined: the case for fixed income in a hard or soft landing Fixed income investors have gone through a stressful few weeks. Since the beginning of September, government bond yields have moved sharply higher, causing spreads to widen and returns to worsen across the board. Read more